First League · Russia · Neftekhimik StadiumFK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Leningradets to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.4 – 1.0 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FK Neftekhimik hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 31% for Leningradets.
FK Neftekhimik have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Leningradets have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.4 for FK Neftekhimik, 1.0 for Leningradets). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Leningradets to win at 3.55 is our value angle (31% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FK Neftekhimik to win ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | 2.03 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.94 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik ✗ | 26% | 3.86 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.96 | – |
Form
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ KAMAZ | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Chelyabinsk | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Ural | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | @ Spartak Kostroma | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Sep | @ Chertanovo Moscow | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Enisey | 2–0 | W |
Leningradets – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Spartak Kostroma | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | vs Luki-Energiya | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Torpedo Moskva | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Volga Ulyanovsk | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ Nizhny Novgorod | 0–6 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Tekstilshchik | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Leningradets.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leningradets 31%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.