Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets preview and prediction
The match
Leningradets travel to Sovcombank Arena in the First League on Thursday 17 September (17:00 WAT) to face Nizhny Novgorod. Nizhny Novgorod are 1st with 46 points from 17 games (top of the table), while Leningradets sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nizhny Novgorod's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Torpedo Moskva 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Leningradets's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Tekstilshchik 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Nizhny Novgorod arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Nizhny Novgorod and 0.9 for Leningradets. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Leningradets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nizhny Novgorod64%fair 1.57 · @1.38
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.50
Leningradets13%fair 7.74 · @7.20
2.99Expected goals
2.11Nizhny Novgorod xG
0.88Leningradets xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 – 0.9 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
64%
1.57
1.38
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.98 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.33
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.95
–
Form
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WWWDWL
13 Sep
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Dinamo Stavropol
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ FC Sochi
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
24 Aug
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–2
W
19 Aug
@ Veles
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leningradets – last 6
DDWLDD
13 Sep
vs Tekstilshchik
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs KAMAZ
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Chelyabinsk
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Leningradets.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leningradets 13%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Leningradets (First League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
