Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 2.79 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓41% · @2.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.77
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Volga Ulyanovsk take on Shinnik Yaroslavl on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Trud Stadium. Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th with 22 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to FC Sochi 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat FK Neftekhimik 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Shinnik Yaroslavl arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Volga Ulyanovsk 0–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.3 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volga Ulyanovsk 35%, draw 24%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.81.
Value angle: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win at 2.79 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volga Ulyanovsk35%fair 2.83 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
Shinnik Yaroslavl41%fair 2.45 · @2.79
2.58Expected goals
1.23Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.34Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.2 – 1.3 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 41%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
