First League · Russia · Volgograd ArenaRotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 1.9 – 0.7 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Rotor Volgograd are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 12% for FK Neftekhimik.
Rotor Volgograd have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. FK Neftekhimik have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded. Rotor Volgograd come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Rotor Volgograd, 0.7 for FK Neftekhimik). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Rotor Volgograd have won 1, FK Neftekhimik have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.34.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rotor Volgograd to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | Rotor Volgograd or draw ✗ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.06 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Rotor Volgograd ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd ✗ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.09 | – |
Form
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
| 20 Aug | @ Arsenal Tula | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Ural | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Chelyabinsk | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Aug | @ Veles | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Jul | @ KAMAZ | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | vs Ska-khabarovsk | 1–0 | W |
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
| 20 Aug | vs FC Sochi | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Nizhny Novgorod | 1–5 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Tekstilshchik | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Volga Ulyanovsk | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jul | @ Arsenal Tula | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 5 Apr 2026 | Rotor Volgograd v FK Neftekhimik | 3–1 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Neftekhimik 12%.
How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik?
Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.