Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.37Odds
1
Value bet: Leningradets to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeningradets to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.37
Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Leningradets take on Chelyabinsk on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Rostec Arena. Leningradets are 13th with 18 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Chelyabinsk sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leningradets's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Arsenal Tula 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Chelyabinsk's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Torpedo Moskva 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Leningradets and 1.1 for Chelyabinsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Leningradets to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.37. Predicted score: Leningradets 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leningradets45%fair 2.23 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.98
Chelyabinsk32%fair 3.16 · @2.84
2.42Expected goals
1.35Leningradets xG
1.08Chelyabinsk xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Leningradets 1.3 – 1.1 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leningradets to win✗
45%
2.23
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.89
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leningradets / FT Leningradets✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.37
–
Form
Leningradets – last 6
DLWDLL
15 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Veles
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs FC Sochi
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Ural
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ FC UFA
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 6
LLWLLW
15 Aug
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–4
L
9 Aug
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Nizhny Novgorod
1–2
L
19 Jul
@ Veles
0–1
L
13 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leningradets and Chelyabinsk.
What is the prediction for Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Leningradets have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chelyabinsk 32%.
How many goals will there be in Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Leningradets 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk?
Leningradets vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
