First League · Russia · Neftyanik StadiumFC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva prediction & analysis
Torpedo Moskva to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC UFA 0.7 – 1.8 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torpedo Moskva travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 14% for FC UFA.
FC UFA have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Torpedo Moskva have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.7 for FC UFA, 1.8 for Torpedo Moskva). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, FC UFA have won 0, Torpedo Moskva have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Torpedo Moskva to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torpedo Moskva to win ✗ | 60% | 1.65 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Torpedo Moskva or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.03 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.58 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.16 |
| Half-time result | Torpedo Moskva ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 6.95 | – |
Form
FC UFA – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ Chelyabinsk | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Volga Ulyanovsk | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Kaluga | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Veles | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ FK Neftekhimik | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Enisey | 3–1 | W |
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
| 17 Sep | vs Veles | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Nizhny Novgorod | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Sep | @ Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Tekstilshchik | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Ska-khabarovsk | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Spartak Kostroma | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 6 Apr 2026 | FC UFA v Torpedo Moskva | 1–1 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Torpedo Moskva to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers FC UFA have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Torpedo Moskva 60%.
How many goals will there be in FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva?
FC UFA vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Neftyanik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.