First League · Russia · ShinnikShinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk prediction & analysis
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.9 – 0.8 Ska-khabarovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Shinnik Yaroslavl are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Ska-khabarovsk.
Shinnik Yaroslavl have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Ska-khabarovsk have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. Shinnik Yaroslavl come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Shinnik Yaroslavl, 0.8 for Ska-khabarovsk). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Shinnik Yaroslavl to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Shinnik Yaroslavl to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.92 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Half-time result | Shinnik Yaroslavl ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl ✗ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.49 | – |
Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
| 18 Sep | vs KAMAZ | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Ural | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | vs Torpedo Moskva | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Rotor Volgograd | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Enisey | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Volga Ulyanovsk | 3–1 | W |
Ska-khabarovsk – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ FC Sochi | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Arsenal Tula | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Znamya Noginsk | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Leningradets | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Torpedo Moskva | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | @ Nizhny Novgorod | 2–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Ska-khabarovsk.
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our pick is Shinnik Yaroslavl to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ska-khabarovsk 14%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ska-khabarovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Shinnik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.