Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.14 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.14
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Spartak Kostroma take on FC UFA on Monday 17 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadion Urozhay. Spartak Kostroma are 6th with 28 points from 17 games (in the top half), while FC UFA sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Spartak Kostroma's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Ska-khabarovsk 3–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC UFA's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Ural 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Spartak Kostroma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Spartak Kostroma and 0.8 for FC UFA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spartak Kostroma 61%, draw 23%, FC UFA 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.14.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.14 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Spartak Kostroma 2–0 FC UFA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Kostroma61%fair 1.63 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.60
FC UFA15%fair 6.60 · @5.45
2.53Expected goals
1.78Spartak Kostroma xG
0.76FC UFA xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.8 – 0.8 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✗
61%
1.63
1.62
Double chance
Spartak Kostroma or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.14 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Half-time result
Spartak Kostroma ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
WDDWWL
9 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Enisey
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Tekstilshchik
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ FC Sochi
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs KAMAZ
3–1
W
3 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC UFA – last 6
LDWDWL
8 Aug
@ Ural
0–3
L
3 Aug
vs KAMAZ
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Tekstilshchik
2–2
D
11 Jul
vs Leningradets
3–0
W
28 Jun
@ Rotor Volgograd
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and FC UFA.
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC UFA 15%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?
Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 2–0 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?
Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
