Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Rotor Volgograd to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.77Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRotor Volgograd to win ✓62% · @1.77
Double chanceRotor Volgograd or draw ✓86% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.08
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk preview and prediction
The match
Rotor Volgograd host Chelyabinsk in the First League on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Volgograd Arena. Rotor Volgograd are 10th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Chelyabinsk sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rotor Volgograd's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Veles 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chelyabinsk's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Volga Ulyanovsk 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rotor Volgograd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Rotor Volgograd and 0.7 for Chelyabinsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Safer route: Rotor Volgograd or draw (86%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.08.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.08 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rotor Volgograd to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rotor Volgograd 1–0 Chelyabinsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rotor Volgograd62%fair 1.61 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Chelyabinsk14%fair 7.17 · @4.55
2.54Expected goals
1.80Rotor Volgograd xG
0.73Chelyabinsk xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 1.8 – 0.7 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotor Volgograd to win✓
62%
1.61
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Rotor Volgograd or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.08 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.16
Half-time result
Rotor Volgograd ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Form
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
LWWLWW
3 Aug
@ Veles
1–2
L
27 Jul
@ KAMAZ
2–0
W
20 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–4
L
28 Jun
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
23 May
@ Akron
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 6
WLLWDL
2 Aug
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Nizhny Novgorod
1–2
L
19 Jul
@ Veles
0–1
L
13 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
4 Jul
@ Ural
1–1
D
8 May
@ Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotor Volgograd and Chelyabinsk.
What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
Our pick is Rotor Volgograd to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chelyabinsk 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Rotor Volgograd 1–0 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk?
Rotor Volgograd vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
