Segunda Liga · Portugal · CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Sporting CP B
Tondela
Sporting CP B vs Tondela prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Sporting CP B to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.2 – 1.2 Tondela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Sporting CP B and Tondela on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Sporting CP B have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Tondela have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Sporting CP B, 1.2 for Tondela). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Sporting CP B to win at 2.88 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sporting CP B to win ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | 2.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sporting CP B / FT Sporting CP B ✗ | 21% | 4.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.43 | – |
Form
Sporting CP B – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Leixoes | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Oct | @ Leicester City U21 | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Portimonense | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Vizela | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | @ Nottingham Forest U21 | 4–2 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Lusitânia Lourosa | 1–2 | L |
Tondela – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Felgueiras 1932 | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ AVS | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Alverca | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Torreense | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Imortal Albufeira | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Portimonense | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP B and Tondela.
More Segunda Liga predictions
FC Porto B0
Portimonense1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
76%@1.22
✓
FT
Feirense1
Lusitânia Lourosa0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.32
✗
FT
Farense2
Benfica B3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
71%@1.33
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
On our numbers Sporting CP B have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tondela 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
Sporting CP B vs Tondela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.