Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes
FC Porto B
Portimonense
FC Porto B vs Portimonense prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: FC Porto B to win @ 3.34 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Porto B 1.1 – 1.3 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates FC Porto B and Portimonense on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
FC Porto B have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Portimonense have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Portimonense come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.1 for FC Porto B, 1.3 for Portimonense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, FC Porto B to win at 3.34 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Portimonense to win ✓ | 41% | 2.42 | 2.07 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.81 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.72 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Portimonense / FT Portimonense ✗ | 23% | 4.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 12% | 8.68 | – |
Form
FC Porto B – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Amarante | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs União de Leiria | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Leixoes | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Vizela | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Tondela | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Penafiel | 0–3 | L |
Portimonense – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Torreense | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Sporting CP B | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Florgrade | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Amarante | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Castro Daire | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Tondela | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Porto B and Portimonense.
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✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Porto B vs Portimonense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Porto B vs Portimonense?
On our numbers FC Porto B have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Portimonense 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC Porto B vs Portimonense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Porto B vs Portimonense?
FC Porto B vs Portimonense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.