Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Feirense
Lusitânia Lourosa
Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.32 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 2.38 – our chance 49% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Feirense 0.9 – 1.3 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lusitânia Lourosa shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 29% for Feirense.
Feirense have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Lusitânia Lourosa have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Lusitânia Lourosa come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 for Feirense, 1.3 for Lusitânia Lourosa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Feirense have won 0, Lusitânia Lourosa have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.32 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, Lusitânia Lourosa to win at 2.38 is our value angle (49% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lusitânia Lourosa to win ✗ | 49% | 2.05 | 2.38 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.84 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa ✗ | 27% | 3.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 6.99 | – |
Form
Feirense – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ Penafiel | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Benfica B | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Farense | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Salgueiros | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Chaves | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Sporting CP B | 1–3 | L |
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Farense | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Felgueiras 1932 | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Os Limianos | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Chaves | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Madalena | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ Sporting CP B | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Feb 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa v Feirense | 1–0 |
More Segunda Liga predictions
FC Porto B0
Portimonense1
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FT
Farense2
Benfica B3
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
71%@1.33
✗
FT
Sporting CP B1
Tondela1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
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✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
On our numbers Feirense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lusitânia Lourosa 49%.
How many goals will there be in Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcolino de Castro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.