Value bet: AVS to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAVS to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.98
AVS vs Vizela preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees AVS take on Vizela on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). AVS are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Vizela sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AVS's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to União de Leiria 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vizela's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Academica 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
AVS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for AVS and 1.2 for Vizela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AVS 40%, draw 24%, Vizela 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: AVS to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: AVS 1–1 Vizela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AVS40%fair 2.53 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.22
Vizela36%fair 2.75 · @2.32
2.41Expected goals
1.24AVS xG
1.17Vizela xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: AVS 1.2 – 1.2 Vizela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AVS to win✗
40%
2.53
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.26
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AVS / FT AVS✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.98
–
Form
AVS – last 6
LWWWWD
31 Oct
@ União de Leiria
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Tondela
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Moreirense
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Penafiel
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sintrense
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Farense
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vizela – last 6
WLLLWD
1 Nov
vs Academica
2–1
W
23 Oct
@ Chaves
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Atlético CP
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Sporting CP B
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Bombarralense
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ FC Porto B
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AVS and Vizela.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win AVS vs Vizela?
On our numbers AVS have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vizela 36%.
How many goals will there be in AVS vs Vizela?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AVS vs Vizela?
Our predicted score is AVS 1–1 Vizela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AVS vs Vizela?
AVS vs Vizela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
