Value bet: Vizela to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVizela to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Chaves vs Vizela preview and prediction
The match
Chaves host Vizela in the Segunda Liga on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves. Chaves are 17th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Vizela sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chaves's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Os Marialvas 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vizela's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Atlético CP 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Vizela 1–0 Chaves.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Chaves and 1.2 for Vizela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chaves 34%, draw 26%, Vizela 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Vizela to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Chaves 1–1 Vizela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chaves34%fair 2.91 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Vizela40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
2.36Expected goals
1.12Chaves xG
1.24Vizela xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chaves 1.1 – 1.2 Vizela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Chaves vs Vizela?
On our numbers Chaves have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vizela 40%.
How many goals will there be in Chaves vs Vizela?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chaves vs Vizela?
Our predicted score is Chaves 1–1 Vizela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chaves vs Vizela?
Chaves vs Vizela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
