Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Leixoes to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorreense to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Torreense vs Leixoes preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Torreense take on Leixoes on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Marques. Torreense are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Leixoes sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Torreense's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Benfica B 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Leixoes's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Amarante 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Leixoes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Torreense 1–1 Leixoes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Torreense and 1.5 for Leixoes. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Value angle: Leixoes to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Torreense 1–1 Leixoes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torreense40%fair 2.52 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Leixoes37%fair 2.73 · @3.10
3.00Expected goals
1.54Torreense xG
1.46Leixoes xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Torreense 1.5 – 1.5 Leixoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Torreense vs Leixoes?
On our numbers Torreense have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leixoes 37%.
How many goals will there be in Torreense vs Leixoes?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torreense vs Leixoes?
Our predicted score is Torreense 1–1 Leixoes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Torreense vs Leixoes?
Torreense vs Leixoes (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Marques.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
