Value bet: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting CP B to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa preview and prediction
The match
Sporting CP B host Lusitânia Lourosa in the Segunda Liga on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira. Sporting CP B are 2nd with 22 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Lusitânia Lourosa sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sporting CP B's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Feirense 3–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Lusitânia Lourosa's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat AVS 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 Sporting CP B.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Sporting CP B and 1.0 for Lusitânia Lourosa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Lusitânia Lourosa to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Sporting CP B 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting CP B44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Lusitânia Lourosa34%fair 2.96 · @3.30
2.30Expected goals
1.25Sporting CP B xG
1.05Lusitânia Lourosa xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.3 – 1.0 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
On our numbers Sporting CP B have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lusitânia Lourosa 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP B 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
