Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTondela to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceTondela or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Tondela vs FC Porto B preview and prediction
The match
FC Porto B travel to face Tondela in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 5 September (11:00 WAT). Tondela are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while FC Porto B sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tondela's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to União de Leiria 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
FC Porto B's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Penafiel 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Tondela and 0.6 for FC Porto B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tondela 64%, draw 21%, FC Porto B 15%.
Safer route: Tondela or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tondela to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tondela 1–0 FC Porto B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tondela64%fair 1.56 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
FC Porto B15%fair 6.72 · @4.60
2.25Expected goals
1.64Tondela xG
0.61FC Porto B xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Tondela 1.6 – 0.6 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tondela to win✓
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Tondela or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tondela / FT Tondela✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Tondela – last 6
LLLWLD
28 Aug
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Academica
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Leixoes
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Amarante
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Rio Ave
1–3
L
29 Jul
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Porto B – last 6
LWLLDL
30 Aug
vs Penafiel
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ Feirense
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Farense
1–3
L
10 Aug
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Academica
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tondela and FC Porto B.
Our pick is Tondela to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Tondela vs FC Porto B?
On our numbers Tondela have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Porto B 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tondela vs FC Porto B?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tondela vs FC Porto B?
Our predicted score is Tondela 1–0 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tondela vs FC Porto B?
Tondela vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
