Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +82%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓57% · @3.20
Double chanceFelgueiras 1932 or draw ✓81% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗23% · fair 4.41
Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS preview and prediction
The match
AVS travel to Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos in the Segunda Liga on Monday 17 August (18:00 WAT) to face Felgueiras 1932. Felgueiras 1932 are 15th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while AVS sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Felgueiras 1932's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Feirense 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AVS's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Sporting CP B 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Felgueiras 1932 and 0.7 for AVS. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Safer route: Felgueiras 1932 or draw (81%) at 1.36.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Felgueiras 1932 0–0 AVS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Felgueiras 193224%fair 4.15 · @2.30
Draw57%fair 1.76 · @3.20
AVS19%fair 5.28 · @2.94
1.48Expected goals
0.79Felgueiras 1932 xG
0.70AVS xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–023%
1–018%
0–116%
1–112%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Felgueiras 1932 0.8 – 0.7 AVS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
57%
1.76
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Felgueiras 1932 or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
23%
4.41
–
Form
Felgueiras 1932 – last 6
DWDDDW
9 Aug
@ Feirense
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Moreirense
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Pacos Ferreira
0–0
D
22 Jul
@ Santa Clara
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ GIL Vicente
1–1
D
15 Jul
@ Sanjoanense
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AVS – last 6
LDWWLD
9 Aug
vs Sporting CP B
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Trofense
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Vianense
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Pacos Ferreira
2–0
W
22 Jul
vs Paredes
2–4
L
18 Jul
@ Moreirense
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Felgueiras 1932 and AVS.
What is the prediction for Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS?
On our numbers Felgueiras 1932 have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 57% and AVS 19%.
How many goals will there be in Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS?
Our predicted score is Felgueiras 1932 0–0 AVS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS?
Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
