Value bet: Feirense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAcademica to win ✓40% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.00
Academica vs Feirense preview and prediction
The match
Academica host Feirense in the Segunda Liga on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estádio Cidade de Coimbra. Academica are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Feirense sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Academica's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Chaves 4–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Feirense's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Felgueiras 1932 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Academica and 1.2 for Feirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Feirense to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Academica 1–1 Feirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Academica40%fair 2.47 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.15
Feirense35%fair 2.83 · @3.20
2.44Expected goals
1.27Academica xG
1.17Feirense xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Academica 1.3 – 1.2 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Academica to win✓
40%
2.47
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Academica / FT Academica✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.00
–
Form
Academica – last 6
WDDWLL
8 Aug
@ Chaves
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Caldas
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ União Santarém
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ FC Porto B
3–1
W
22 Jul
@ Tondela
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Guimaraes
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Feirense – last 6
DDDDWD
9 Aug
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ União Lamas
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Arouca
0–0
D
17 May
@ União de Leiria
2–2
D
3 May
@ Pacos Ferreira
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Torreense
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Academica and Feirense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Academica vs Feirense?
On our numbers Academica have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Feirense 35%.
How many goals will there be in Academica vs Feirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Academica vs Feirense?
Our predicted score is Academica 1–1 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Academica vs Feirense?
Academica vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cidade de Coimbra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
