Value bet: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 2.32 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✓46% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.75
Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B preview and prediction
The match
Lusitânia Lourosa host FC Porto B in the Segunda Liga on Monday 10 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa FC. Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while FC Porto B sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Lusitânia Lourosa's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Paredes 2–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Porto B's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Lusitânia Lourosa 3–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 July 2026, finished Lusitânia Lourosa 3–3 FC Porto B. Across their last 2 meetings Lusitânia Lourosa have won 0, FC Porto B 0, with 2 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Lusitânia Lourosa and 1.1 for FC Porto B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lusitânia Lourosa 46%, draw 22%, FC Porto B 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Lusitânia Lourosa to win at 2.32 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 FC Porto B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lusitânia Lourosa46%fair 2.17 · @2.32
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
FC Porto B32%fair 3.11 · @2.84
2.51Expected goals
1.40Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.11FC Porto B xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.4 – 1.1 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Porto B 32%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa FC.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
