Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDynamo Dresden to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees Dynamo Dresden take on SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. Dynamo Dresden are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dynamo Dresden's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Hannover 96 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Holstein Kiel 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.4 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Value angle: SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win at 3.40 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dynamo Dresden 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dynamo Dresden44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
SpVgg Greuther Fürth35%fair 2.84 · @3.40
2.99Expected goals
1.60Dynamo Dresden xG
1.39SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Dynamo Dresden 1.6 – 1.4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo Dresden to win✓
44%
2.25
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo Dresden / FT Dynamo Dresden✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Dynamo Dresden – last 6
LWLWDL
1 Nov
@ Hannover 96
1–2
L
28 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Holstein Kiel
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ VfL Osnabrück
1–1
D
2 Oct
@ Teplice
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6
WLWLLD
1 Nov
vs Holstein Kiel
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ VfL Osnabrück
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Hertha BSC
1–2
L
1 Oct
@ VfB Stuttgart
0–5
L
18 Sep
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo Dresden and SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
On our numbers Dynamo Dresden have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 35%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our predicted score is Dynamo Dresden 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
