FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC St. Pauli to win ✗48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg preview and prediction
The match
FC St. Pauli host 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Millerntor-Stadion. FC St. Pauli are 9th with 12 points from 11 games (in the top half), while 1. FC Nürnberg sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC St. Pauli's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with SV Darmstadt 98 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
1. FC Nürnberg's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 2–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.7 for FC St. Pauli and 1.3 for 1. FC Nürnberg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC St. Pauli 48%, draw 22%, 1. FC Nürnberg 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC St. Pauli48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
1. FC Nürnberg30%fair 3.28 · @3.10
2.94Expected goals
1.67FC St. Pauli xG
1.271. FC Nürnberg xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC St. Pauli 1.7 – 1.3 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC St. Pauli to win✗
48%
2.09
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC St. Pauli / FT FC St. Pauli✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Form
FC St. Pauli – last 6
DDWDDW
23 Oct
@ SV Darmstadt 98
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Hannover 96
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Karlsruher SC
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Energie Cottbus
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs VfL Wolfsburg
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
1. FC Nürnberg – last 6
LLDDWW
28 Oct
@ Bayer Leverkusen
2–5
L
24 Oct
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–1
L
16 Oct
@ Energie Cottbus
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs VfL Wolfsburg
4–4
D
2 Oct
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Karlsruher SC
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Nürnberg.
What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
On our numbers FC St. Pauli have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and 1. FC Nürnberg 30%.
How many goals will there be in FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our predicted score is FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Millerntor-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
