Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Hertha BSC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Hertha BSC to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHertha BSC to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees Hertha BSC take on Arminia Bielefeld on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Olympiastadion. Hertha BSC are 1st with 31 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hertha BSC's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Holstein Kiel 0–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Arminia Bielefeld's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat VfL Osnabrück 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hertha BSC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Arminia Bielefeld 6–1 Hertha BSC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Hertha BSC and 1.0 for Arminia Bielefeld. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hertha BSC to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hertha BSC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hertha BSC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hertha BSC66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.70
Arminia Bielefeld15%fair 6.63 · @3.90
3.31Expected goals
2.30Hertha BSC xG
1.01Arminia Bielefeld xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hertha BSC 2.3 – 1.0 Arminia Bielefeld expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our pick is Hertha BSC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
On our numbers Hertha BSC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Arminia Bielefeld 15%.
How many goals will there be in Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our predicted score is Hertha BSC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympiastadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.