Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Hertha BSC to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHertha BSC to win ✗49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees Holstein Kiel take on Hertha BSC on Friday 16 October, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel are 18th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Hertha BSC sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Holstein Kiel's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hertha BSC's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Hertha BSC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Holstein Kiel and 1.8 for Hertha BSC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Holstein Kiel 31%, draw 19%, Hertha BSC 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Hertha BSC to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Holstein Kiel 1–1 Hertha BSC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holstein Kiel31%fair 3.20 · @2.75
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.70
Hertha BSC49%fair 2.03 · @2.20
3.21Expected goals
1.39Holstein Kiel xG
1.82Hertha BSC xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 1.4 – 1.8 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hertha BSC to win✗
49%
2.03
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Holstein Kiel – last 6
LWDLDL
9 Oct
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Viborg
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs VfL Osnabrück
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ 1. FC Magdeburg
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 6
WDWWWW
11 Oct
vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2–1
W
2 Oct
@ FC Augsburg
2–2
D
29 Sep
@ Hertha Zehlendorf
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Dynamo Dresden
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ VfL Osnabrück
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hertha BSC 49%.
How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 1–1 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
