Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Arminia Bielefeld or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Arminia Bielefeld to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArminia Bielefeld to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceArminia Bielefeld or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.22
Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees Arminia Bielefeld take on VfL Osnabrück on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Schüco-Arena. Arminia Bielefeld are 6th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while VfL Osnabrück sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Arminia Bielefeld's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat VfL Bochum 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
VfL Osnabrück's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Dynamo Dresden 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.0 for VfL Osnabrück. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Arminia Bielefeld or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Arminia Bielefeld to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arminia Bielefeld or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arminia Bielefeld63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.75
VfL Osnabrück13%fair 7.68 · @4.00
3.29Expected goals
2.28Arminia Bielefeld xG
1.01VfL Osnabrück xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Arminia Bielefeld 2.3 – 1.0 VfL Osnabrück expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arminia Bielefeld to win✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Arminia Bielefeld or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Arminia Bielefeld ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arminia Bielefeld / FT Arminia Bielefeld✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.22
–
Form
Arminia Bielefeld – last 6
WDDLDL
11 Oct
@ VfL Bochum
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Rot-Weiß Essen
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
2–2
D
11 Sep
@ SV Darmstadt 98
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
VfL Osnabrück – last 6
DLWDLW
10 Oct
vs Dynamo Dresden
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Djurgardens IF
0–1
L
23 Sep
@ Wiedenbrück
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Holstein Kiel
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Hertha BSC
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabrück.
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?
Our pick is Arminia Bielefeld or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?
On our numbers Arminia Bielefeld have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and VfL Osnabrück 13%.
How many goals will there be in Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?
Our predicted score is Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 VfL Osnabrück, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?
Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Schüco-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
