FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
FC St. Pauli or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC St. Pauli to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceFC St. Pauli or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92
FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees FC St. Pauli take on Karlsruher SC on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Millerntor-Stadion. FC St. Pauli are 9th with 12 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Karlsruher SC sit 16th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC St. Pauli's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Karlsruher SC's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat SV Wehen 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for FC St. Pauli and 0.9 for Karlsruher SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC St. Pauli 61%, draw 21%, Karlsruher SC 19%.
Safer route: FC St. Pauli or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC St. Pauli or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FC St. Pauli 1–0 Karlsruher SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC St. Pauli61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @4.00
Karlsruher SC19%fair 5.36 · @4.00
2.83Expected goals
1.90FC St. Pauli xG
0.93Karlsruher SC xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: FC St. Pauli 1.9 – 0.9 Karlsruher SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC St. Pauli to win✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
FC St. Pauli or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
FC St. Pauli ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC St. Pauli / FT FC St. Pauli✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.92
–
Form
FC St. Pauli – last 6
DDWDLL
3 Oct
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Energie Cottbus
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs VfL Wolfsburg
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Rot-Weiß Essen
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Karlsruher SC – last 6
WLLDLW
2 Oct
@ SV Wehen
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Energie Cottbus
0–3
L
4 Sep
@ Hannover 96
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs VfL Wolfsburg
2–5
L
21 Aug
@ Preußen Münster
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC St. Pauli and Karlsruher SC.
What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
Our pick is FC St. Pauli or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
On our numbers FC St. Pauli have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karlsruher SC 19%.
How many goals will there be in FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
Our predicted score is FC St. Pauli 1–0 Karlsruher SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Millerntor-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
