Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Holstein Kiel or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHolstein Kiel to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceHolstein Kiel or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees Holstein Kiel take on VfL Osnabrück on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel are 18th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while VfL Osnabrück sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Holstein Kiel's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to 1. FC Heidenheim 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
VfL Osnabrück's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Hertha BSC 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
VfL Osnabrück arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Holstein Kiel and 1.2 for VfL Osnabrück. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Holstein Kiel 58%, draw 24%, VfL Osnabrück 17%.
Safer route: Holstein Kiel or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Holstein Kiel or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Holstein Kiel 2–1 VfL Osnabrück. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holstein Kiel58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.90
VfL Osnabrück17%fair 5.87 · @3.90
3.40Expected goals
2.22Holstein Kiel xG
1.18VfL Osnabrück xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Holstein Kiel 2.2 – 1.2 VfL Osnabrück expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holstein Kiel to win✗
58%
1.71
1.75
Double chance
Holstein Kiel or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Holstein Kiel ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holstein Kiel / FT Holstein Kiel✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Holstein Kiel – last 6
LDLWDD
13 Sep
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ 1. FC Magdeburg
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ TSV 1860 München
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs FC St. Pauli
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
VfL Osnabrück – last 6
LWLWWL
13 Sep
vs Hertha BSC
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Eintracht Braunschweig
3–1
W
2 Sep
vs Bayern München
1–4
L
28 Aug
@ VfL Bochum
1–0
W
18 Aug
@ Spelle-Venhaus
5–3
W
15 Aug
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück.
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?
Our pick is Holstein Kiel or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?
On our numbers Holstein Kiel have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and VfL Osnabrück 17%.
How many goals will there be in Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?
Our predicted score is Holstein Kiel 2–1 VfL Osnabrück, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück?
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Holstein-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
