Value bet: Energie Cottbus to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC St. Pauli to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.69
Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees Energie Cottbus take on FC St. Pauli on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadion der Freundschaft. Energie Cottbus are 12th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while FC St. Pauli sit 9th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Energie Cottbus's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Karlsruher SC 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
FC St. Pauli's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.8 for Energie Cottbus and 2.1 for FC St. Pauli. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Energie Cottbus 36%, draw 20%, FC St. Pauli 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Energie Cottbus to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Energie Cottbus 1–2 FC St. Pauli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Energie Cottbus36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.60
FC St. Pauli44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
3.90Expected goals
1.85Energie Cottbus xG
2.05FC St. Pauli xG
71%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Energie Cottbus 1.8 – 2.1 FC St. Pauli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC St. Pauli to win✗
44%
2.28
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
FC St. Pauli ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC St. Pauli / FT FC St. Pauli✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.69
–
Form
Energie Cottbus – last 6
WDLLLW
13 Sep
@ Karlsruher SC
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ VfL Wolfsburg
4–4
D
29 Aug
vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3–4
L
22 Aug
vs FC Augsburg
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Arminia Bielefeld
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Hannover 96
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC St. Pauli – last 6
WDLLDD
12 Sep
vs VfL Wolfsburg
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Rot-Weiß Essen
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Holstein Kiel
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Energie Cottbus and FC St. Pauli.
What is the prediction for Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli?
On our numbers Energie Cottbus have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC St. Pauli 44%.
How many goals will there be in Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli?
Our predicted score is Energie Cottbus 1–2 FC St. Pauli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli?
Energie Cottbus vs FC St. Pauli (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion der Freundschaft.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
