FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
FC St. Pauli or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC St. Pauli to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceFC St. Pauli or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern preview and prediction
The match
1. FC Kaiserslautern travel to Millerntor-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 30 August (12:30 WAT) to face FC St. Pauli. FC St. Pauli are 9th with 12 points from 11 games (in the top half), while 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 3rd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC St. Pauli's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Rot-Weiß Essen 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
1. FC Kaiserslautern's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Waldhof Mannheim 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for FC St. Pauli and 0.7 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC St. Pauli 58%, draw 24%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 18%.
Safer route: FC St. Pauli or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC St. Pauli or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC St. Pauli 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC St. Pauli58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.70
1. FC Kaiserslautern18%fair 5.59 · @3.85
2.26Expected goals
1.55FC St. Pauli xG
0.711. FC Kaiserslautern xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC St. Pauli 1.5 – 0.7 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC St. Pauli to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
FC St. Pauli or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.50 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC St. Pauli / FT FC St. Pauli✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.23
–
Form
FC St. Pauli – last 6
LDDDLW
23 Aug
@ Rot-Weiß Essen
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Holstein Kiel
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–2
D
24 Jul
@ Bournemouth
1–4
L
19 Jul
vs HNK Gorica
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern – last 6
DDDWDL
21 Aug
@ Waldhof Mannheim
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Karlsruher SC
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ VfL Wolfsburg
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Metz
3–1
W
25 Jul
@ Sudtirol
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ FSV Mainz 05
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Our pick is FC St. Pauli or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
On our numbers FC St. Pauli have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and 1. FC Kaiserslautern 18%.
How many goals will there be in FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
Our predicted score is FC St. Pauli 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Millerntor-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
