Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarry Town to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceBarry Town or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Barry Town vs Trefelin preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Barry Town take on Trefelin on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Jenner Park. Barry Town are 7th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Trefelin sit 15th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Barry Town's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Haverfordwest County AFC 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Trefelin's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Flint Town United 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Barry Town and 1.1 for Trefelin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barry Town 63%, draw 18%, Trefelin 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barry Town 2–1 Trefelin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barry Town63%fair 1.58 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.40
Trefelin18%fair 5.45 · @6.50
3.43Expected goals
2.28Barry Town xG
1.15Trefelin xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Barry Town 2.3 – 1.1 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barry Town to win✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Double chance
Barry Town or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Barry Town ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barry Town / FT Barry Town✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Barry Town – last 6
LWLWLL
24 Oct
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–3
L
17 Oct
vs Tredegar Town
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Penybont
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Caernarfon Town
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–4
L
18 Sep
@ Colwyn Bay
2–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
LWWLLD
23 Oct
vs Flint Town United
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Llantwit Major
4–1
W
9 Oct
@ Cardiff MET
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Airbus UK
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs The New Saints
1–3
L
18 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barry Town and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for Barry Town vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Barry Town vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Barry Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Trefelin 18%.
How many goals will there be in Barry Town vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barry Town vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Barry Town 2–1 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Barry Town vs Trefelin?
Barry Town vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Jenner Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
