Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Colwyn Bay take on GAP Connah S Quay FC on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Llanelian Road. Colwyn Bay are 4th with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Colwyn Bay's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Penybont 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Haverfordwest County AFC 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
GAP Connah S Quay FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.2 for Colwyn Bay and 1.8 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colwyn Bay 27%, draw 22%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GAP Connah S Quay FC to win – a 51% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.95, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Colwyn Bay 1–2 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colwyn Bay27%fair 3.73 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
GAP Connah S Quay FC51%fair 1.95 · @2.10
3.00Expected goals
1.22Colwyn Bay xG
1.78GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 1.2 – 1.8 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.39
–
Form
Colwyn Bay – last 6
LWLWLD
5 Sep
@ Penybont
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ The New Saints
1–5
L
21 Aug
vs Airbus UK
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Caernarfon Town
0–3
L
7 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
DWWWWW
4 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Flint Town United
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Trefelin
6–0
W
7 Aug
@ Holywell
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colwyn Bay and GAP Connah S Quay FC.
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our pick is GAP Connah S Quay FC to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 51%.
How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 1–2 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
