Value bet: GAP Connah S Quay FC to win @ 1.86 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓59% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.07
Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC preview and prediction
The match
Flint Town United host GAP Connah S Quay FC in the Premier League on Monday 31 August, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Essity Stadium. Flint Town United are 13th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flint Town United's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Penybont 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Cambrian & Clydach 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
GAP Connah S Quay FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Flint Town United and 1.9 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flint Town United 21%, draw 20%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: GAP Connah S Quay FC to win at 1.86 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Flint Town United 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flint Town United21%fair 4.68 · @3.55
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.35
GAP Connah S Quay FC59%fair 1.71 · @1.86
2.99Expected goals
1.06Flint Town United xG
1.93GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Flint Town United 1.1 – 1.9 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✓
59%
1.71
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.34
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.07
–
Form
Flint Town United – last 6
DLLLLL
28 Aug
@ Penybont
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Briton Ferry
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Barry Town
2–3
L
31 Jul
@ Llandudno
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
WWWWLL
28 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Trefelin
6–0
W
7 Aug
@ Holywell
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
1–2
L
16 Jul
@ Ballkani
2–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flint Town United and GAP Connah S Quay FC.
What is the prediction for Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
On our numbers Flint Town United have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 59%.
How many goals will there be in Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our predicted score is Flint Town United 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Flint Town United vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
