Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓67% · @1.33
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.68
Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin preview and prediction
The match
Trefelin travel to Llanelian Road in the Premier League on Friday 31 July (19:45 WAT) to face Colwyn Bay. Colwyn Bay are 4th with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Trefelin sit 15th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Colwyn Bay's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Bootle 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Trefelin's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Treowen Stars 6–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
Trefelin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Colwyn Bay and 0.8 for Trefelin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colwyn Bay 67%, draw 21%, Trefelin 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Colwyn Bay 2–0 Trefelin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colwyn Bay67%fair 1.49 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.60
Trefelin12%fair 8.14 · @7.50
3.04Expected goals
2.20Colwyn Bay xG
0.84Trefelin xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Colwyn Bay 2.2 – 0.8 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colwyn Bay to win✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Double chance
Colwyn Bay or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Half-time result
Colwyn Bay ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.68
–
Form
Colwyn Bay – last 6
WLDWLW
25 Jul
vs Bootle
1–0
W
14 Jul
@ Marine
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Altrincham
2–2
D
6 Jul
vs Rhyl
3–2
W
3 Jul
vs Denbigh Town
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Bala Town
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
WWWLWW
3 Apr
vs Treowen Stars
6–0
W
30 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
8–1
W
27 Mar
@ Pontypridd Town
3–1
W
17 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Cardiff Draconians
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colwyn Bay and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Colwyn Bay have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Trefelin 12%.
How many goals will there be in Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Colwyn Bay 2–0 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin?
Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Llanelian Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
