Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Nykobing FC to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNykobing FC to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceNykobing FC or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Division sees Nykobing FC take on VSK Århus on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Nykobing FC are 1st with 31 points from 15 games (top of the table), while VSK Århus sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nykobing FC's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Naestved 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
VSK Århus's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Brabrand 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nykobing FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Nykobing FC and 0.9 for VSK Århus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nykobing FC 62%, draw 22%, VSK Århus 16%.
Safer route: Nykobing FC or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Nykobing FC to win at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nykobing FC or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nykobing FC 1–0 VSK Århus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nykobing FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.50
VSK Århus16%fair 6.13 · @3.80
2.85Expected goals
1.95Nykobing FC xG
0.90VSK Århus xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Nykobing FC 2.0 – 0.9 VSK Århus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nykobing FC to win✓
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Nykobing FC or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Nykobing FC ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nykobing FC / FT Nykobing FC✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Nykobing FC – last 6
DDWWDW
2 Oct
@ Naestved
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Brabrand
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs HIK
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs FA 2000
3–1
W
9 Sep
vs Middelfart
4–4
D
6 Sep
@ Thisted FC
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
VSK Århus – last 6
LWDDLL
2 Oct
vs Brabrand
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Skive
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Middelfart
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs B 93
2–2
D
9 Sep
vs Lyngby
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Roskilde
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nykobing FC and VSK Århus.
What is the prediction for Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus?
Our pick is Nykobing FC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus?
On our numbers Nykobing FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VSK Århus 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus?
Our predicted score is Nykobing FC 1–0 VSK Århus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus?
Nykobing FC vs VSK Århus (2. Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.