Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Naestved to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaestved to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceNaestved or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Brabrand vs Naestved preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Division sees Brabrand take on Naestved on Friday 14 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Brabrand are 9th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Naestved sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Brabrand's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Middelfart 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Naestved's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with HIK 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Naestved arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Naestved 0–0 Brabrand.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.1 for Brabrand and 2.4 for Naestved. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: Naestved to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Naestved or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brabrand 1–2 Naestved. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brabrand13%fair 7.94 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.25
Naestved63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
3.50Expected goals
1.10Brabrand xG
2.40Naestved xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Brabrand 1.1 – 2.4 Naestved expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Naestved or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brabrand vs Naestved?
On our numbers Brabrand have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naestved 63%.
How many goals will there be in Brabrand vs Naestved?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brabrand vs Naestved?
Our predicted score is Brabrand 1–2 Naestved, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Brabrand vs Naestved?
Brabrand vs Naestved (2. Division) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
