Primeira Liga · Portugal

Nacional

LWLLL

1–0

Academico Viseu

WLWLW

Nacional vs Academico Viseu prediction & analysis

73%

Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating

1.33Odds

Value bet: Academico Viseu to win @ 2.55 – our chance 46% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultAcademico Viseu to win ✗46% · @2.55

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.59

Win chances

Nacional32%fair 3.12 · @2.80

Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.25

Academico Viseu46%fair 2.19 · @2.55

2.65Expected goals

1.18Nacional xG

1.47Academico Viseu xG

56%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

1–08%

0–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Nacional 1.2 – 1.5 Academico Viseu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Academico Viseu shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 32% for Nacional.

Nacional have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Academico Viseu have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. Academico Viseu come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for Nacional, 1.5 for Academico Viseu). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Academico Viseu to win at 2.55 is our value angle (46% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Academico Viseu to win ✗	46%	2.19	2.55 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.77	1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	73%	1.38	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.90	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	1.25
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Academico Viseu / FT Academico Viseu ✗	26%	3.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	10%	9.59	–

Form

Nacional – last 6

LWLLLL

1 Nov	@ Arouca	0–1	L
25 Oct	vs SC Braga	1–0	W
17 Oct	@ Sanjoanense	0–1	L
11 Oct	@ Rio Ave	2–3	L
19 Sep	vs Famalicao	0–4	L
12 Sep	vs Alverca	1–3	L

0.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Academico Viseu – last 6

WLWLWW

1 Nov	vs Rio Ave	2–1	W
28 Oct	@ FC Porto	0–1	L
25 Oct	@ Sporting CP	2–1	W
18 Oct	@ Fátima	0–1	L
10 Oct	vs Estoril	2–1	W
20 Sep	@ Estrela	2–0	W

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nacional and Academico Viseu.

Primeira Liga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	11	11	0	0	+22	33
2	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+20	28
3	Sporting CP	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Santa Clara	11	6	3	2	+8	21
5	Arouca	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Academico Viseu	11	6	2	3	+2	20
7	GIL Vicente	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	SC Braga	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Moreirense	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Famalicao	11	3	4	4	+1	13
11	Alverca	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Estrela	11	2	4	5	-5	10
13	Nacional	11	3	1	7	-8	10
14	Vitória SC	11	2	3	6	-1	9
15	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	-12	8
16	Casa Pia	11	2	2	7	-14	8
17	Rio Ave	11	2	1	8	-15	7
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	-14	2

More Primeira Liga predictions

League hub →

Alverca1

Casa Pia1 612118 1XAlverca or draw 82%@1.20 ✓ FT

Sporting CP1

Moreirense0 741412 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

On our numbers Nacional have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Academico Viseu 46%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Nacional vs Academico Viseu (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.