The Primeira Liga sees Famalicao take on Arouca on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 21:45 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao. Famalicao are 10th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Arouca sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Famalicao's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to SC Braga 0–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Arouca's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Nacional 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arouca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 July 2026, finished Famalicao 0–0 Arouca. Across their last 2 meetings Famalicao have won 1, Arouca 0, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Famalicao and 1.1 for Arouca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Famalicao 42%, draw 24%, Arouca 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Famalicao 1–1 Arouca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Famalicao42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Arouca34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
2.41Expected goals
1.28Famalicao xG
1.13Arouca xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Famalicao 1.3 – 1.1 Arouca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Famalicao vs Arouca?
On our numbers Famalicao have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arouca 34%.
How many goals will there be in Famalicao vs Arouca?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs Arouca?
Our predicted score is Famalicao 1–1 Arouca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Famalicao vs Arouca?
Famalicao vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
