Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitória SC to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceVitória SC or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.18
Vitória SC vs Maritimo preview and prediction
The match
Vitória SC host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT). Vitória SC are 14th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Maritimo sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitória SC's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Recreativa de Lamelas 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Maritimo's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Alcochetense 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Vitória SC and 0.6 for Maritimo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Vitória SC to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vitória SC 1–0 Maritimo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitória SC65%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
Maritimo13%fair 7.57 · @5.00
2.38Expected goals
1.75Vitória SC xG
0.63Maritimo xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vitória SC 1.7 – 0.6 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitória SC to win✓
65%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Vitória SC or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Vitória SC ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitória SC / FT Vitória SC✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.18
–
Form
Vitória SC – last 6
WLDLDL
17 Oct
@ Recreativa de Lamelas
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Benfica
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Moreirense
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Academico Viseu
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Casa Pia
0–0
D
31 Aug
@ SC Braga
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 6
WLDLLL
18 Oct
@ Alcochetense
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs FC Porto
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ GIL Vicente
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Moreirense
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Benfica
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Arouca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória SC and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
Our pick is Vitória SC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Vitória SC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maritimo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Vitória SC 1–0 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vitória SC vs Maritimo?
Vitória SC vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
