Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenfica to win ✓70% · @1.36
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓92% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Santa Clara vs Benfica preview and prediction
The match
Santa Clara host Benfica in the Primeira Liga on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Estádio de São Miguel. Santa Clara are 4th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Benfica sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Santa Clara's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Mafra 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Benfica's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Omonia Nicosia 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Benfica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.7 for Santa Clara and 2.2 for Benfica. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Clara 8%, draw 21%, Benfica 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Benfica to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Santa Clara 0–2 Benfica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Clara8%fair 11.77 · @8.50
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @4.50
Benfica70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
2.94Expected goals
0.71Santa Clara xG
2.23Benfica xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Santa Clara 0.7 – 2.2 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Our pick is Benfica to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
On our numbers Santa Clara have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Benfica 70%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs Benfica?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is Santa Clara 0–2 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Santa Clara vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Miguel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
