Value bet: Moreirense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.78
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente preview and prediction
The match
Moreirense host GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 18:45 (WAT) at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas. Moreirense are 9th with 14 points from 11 games (in the top half), while GIL Vicente sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Moreirense's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Vitória SC 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
GIL Vicente's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Maritimo 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished GIL Vicente 2–2 Moreirense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Moreirense and 1.3 for GIL Vicente. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moreirense 34%, draw 22%, GIL Vicente 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Moreirense to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Moreirense 1–1 GIL Vicente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreirense34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
GIL Vicente44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
2.46Expected goals
1.13Moreirense xG
1.33GIL Vicente xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Moreirense 1.1 – 1.3 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
On our numbers Moreirense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and GIL Vicente 44%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
Our predicted score is Moreirense 1–1 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
