Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Arouca vs Santa Clara preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Arouca take on Santa Clara on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Arouca are 5th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Santa Clara sit 4th on 21 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arouca's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Estoril 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santa Clara's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Rio Ave 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 July 2026, finished Santa Clara 3–0 Arouca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Arouca and 1.1 for Santa Clara. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arouca 38%, draw 25%, Santa Clara 37%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arouca38%fair 2.65 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Santa Clara37%fair 2.71 · @2.80
2.20Expected goals
1.11Arouca xG
1.09Santa Clara xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Arouca 1.1 – 1.1 Santa Clara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Arouca vs Santa Clara?
On our numbers Arouca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Clara 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arouca vs Santa Clara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arouca vs Santa Clara?
Our predicted score is Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arouca vs Santa Clara?
Arouca vs Santa Clara (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.