Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.00Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenfica to win ✓73% · @1.16
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Benfica vs Estoril preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Benfica take on Estoril on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT) at Estádio da Luz. Benfica are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Estoril sit 18th on 2 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Benfica's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Aarhus 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
Estoril's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Rio Ave 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Benfica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for Benfica and 0.9 for Estoril. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Benfica 73%, draw 16%, Estoril 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Benfica 2–1 Estoril. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benfica73%fair 1.36 · @1.16
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @7.10
Estoril11%fair 9.05 · @15.00
3.47Expected goals
2.57Benfica xG
0.90Estoril xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Benfica 2.6 – 0.9 Estoril expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica to win✓
73%
1.36
1.16
Double chance
Benfica or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.80
Half-time result
Benfica ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica / FT Benfica✓
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
Benfica – last 6
WWWDDW
27 Aug
@ Aarhus
3–1
W
20 Aug
vs Aarhus
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Casa Pia
7–0
W
13 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
6 Aug
vs Heart Of Midlothian
6–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Estoril – last 6
LLDDDL
22 Aug
vs Rio Ave
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Nacional
0–2
L
7 Aug
vs Famalicao
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ CF Os Belenenses
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Torreense
0–0
D
22 Jul
@ Alverca
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benfica and Estoril.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Benfica vs Estoril?
On our numbers Benfica have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Estoril 11%.
How many goals will there be in Benfica vs Estoril?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Estoril?
Our predicted score is Benfica 2–1 Estoril, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Benfica vs Estoril?
Benfica vs Estoril (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Luz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
