Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceGIL Vicente or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 9.83
GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia preview and prediction
The match
GIL Vicente host Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. GIL Vicente are 7th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Casa Pia sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
GIL Vicente's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Rio Ave 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Casa Pia's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Benfica 0–7 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
GIL Vicente arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished GIL Vicente 2–1 Casa Pia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for GIL Vicente and 1.0 for Casa Pia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: GIL Vicente 61%, draw 22%, Casa Pia 17%.
Safer route: GIL Vicente or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GIL Vicente to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: GIL Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GIL Vicente61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Casa Pia17%fair 5.80 · @4.80
3.00Expected goals
2.02GIL Vicente xG
0.98Casa Pia xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: GIL Vicente 2.0 – 1.0 Casa Pia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
Our pick is GIL Vicente to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
On our numbers GIL Vicente have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Casa Pia 17%.
How many goals will there be in GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
Our predicted score is GIL Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
