Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Braga to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Estrela vs SC Braga preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Estrela take on SC Braga on Thursday 10 September, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT). Estrela are 12th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while SC Braga sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Estrela's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Famalicao 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
SC Braga's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Alverca 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.2 for Estrela and 2.3 for SC Braga. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estrela 19%, draw 21%, SC Braga 61%.
Safer route: SC Braga or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SC Braga to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estrela 1–2 SC Braga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estrela19%fair 5.39 · @4.75
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
SC Braga61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
3.57Expected goals
1.24Estrela xG
2.33SC Braga xG
56%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Estrela 1.2 – 2.3 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Double chance
SC Braga or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
SC Braga ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
Estrela – last 6
DWDDWD
5 Sep
vs Famalicao
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Nacional
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Alverca
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Sporting CP
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
4–2
W
29 Jul
@ Maritimo
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SC Braga – last 6
WWDWDD
5 Sep
@ Alverca
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Vitória SC
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Austria Vienna
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Austria Vienna
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ Dinamo Minsk
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Moreirense
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela and SC Braga.
Our pick is SC Braga to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Estrela vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Estrela have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SC Braga 61%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela vs SC Braga?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrela vs SC Braga?
Our predicted score is Estrela 1–2 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Estrela vs SC Braga?
Estrela vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
