Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗15% · fair 6.61
Casa Pia vs Benfica preview and prediction
The match
Casa Pia host Benfica in the Primeira Liga on Monday 17 August, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. Casa Pia are 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Benfica sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Casa Pia's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Maritimo 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Benfica's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Benfica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Casa Pia 1–1 Benfica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.6 for Casa Pia and 2.2 for Benfica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Casa Pia 8%, draw 16%, Benfica 76%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Casa Pia 0–2 Benfica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Casa Pia8%fair 12.32 · @14.00
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @5.60
Benfica76%fair 1.32 · @1.22
2.80Expected goals
0.57Casa Pia xG
2.23Benfica xG
49%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–215%
0–114%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
1–36%
From our goals model: Casa Pia 0.6 – 2.2 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Casa Pia vs Benfica?
On our numbers Casa Pia have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Benfica 76%.
How many goals will there be in Casa Pia vs Benfica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casa Pia vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is Casa Pia 0–2 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Casa Pia vs Benfica?
Casa Pia vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
