Value bet: SC Braga to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Braga to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✗88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.90
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente preview and prediction
The match
SC Braga host GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga on Monday 19 October, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal de Braga. SC Braga are 8th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while GIL Vicente sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
SC Braga's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to FC Copenhagen 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
GIL Vicente's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with União Santarém 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for SC Braga and 0.7 for GIL Vicente. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: SC Braga 64%, draw 24%, GIL Vicente 12%.
Safer route: SC Braga or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: SC Braga to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: SC Braga 1–0 GIL Vicente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Braga64%fair 1.56 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.70
GIL Vicente12%fair 8.65 · @4.90
2.56Expected goals
1.87SC Braga xG
0.69GIL Vicente xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: SC Braga 1.9 – 0.7 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✗
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Double chance
SC Braga or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
SC Braga ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.90
–
Form
SC Braga – last 6
LLDWLW
15 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
0–3
L
9 Oct
vs Sporting CP
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Santa Clara
0–0
D
14 Sep
vs Estoril
1–0
W
10 Sep
@ Estrela
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Alverca
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
GIL Vicente – last 6
DWDLLD
14 Oct
@ União Santarém
2–2
D
9 Oct
@ Moreirense
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Maritimo
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Benfica
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Famalicao
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Braga and GIL Vicente.
What is the prediction for SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?
On our numbers SC Braga have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and GIL Vicente 12%.
How many goals will there be in SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?
Our predicted score is SC Braga 1–0 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is SC Braga vs GIL Vicente?
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
