Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayern München to win81% · @1.07
Double chanceBayern München or draw91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18% · fair 12.61
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln preview and prediction
The match
1. FC Köln travel to Allianz Arena in the Bundesliga on Friday 20 November (20:30 WAT) to face Bayern München. Bayern München are 1st with 21 points from 9 games (top of the table), while 1. FC Köln sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bayern München's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat FSV Mainz 05 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
1. FC Köln's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Bayern München arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 3.2 for Bayern München and 0.8 for 1. FC Köln. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 77% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bayern München 81%, draw 10%, 1. FC Köln 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Köln. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bayern München81%fair 1.23 · @1.07
Draw10%fair 9.61 · @11.00
1. FC Köln9%fair 11.71 · @23.00
3.98Expected goals
3.21Bayern München xG
0.771. FC Köln xG
56%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–010%
2–010%
4–08%
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
From our goals model: Bayern München 3.2 – 0.8 1. FC Köln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
Attack vs Bundesliga average
+72%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
+0%
Our expected goals here
3.54
0.67
Our own ratings from every Bundesliga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win
81%
1.23
1.07
Double chance
Bayern München or draw
91%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.05
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.50
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time
64%
1.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München
62%
1.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1
8%
12.61
–
Form
Bayern München – last 6
WWDWWD
7 Nov
@ FSV Mainz 05
2–1
W
3 Nov
@ Atletico Madrid
2–0
W
31 Oct
vs Borussia Dortmund
2–2
D
28 Oct
vs 1. FC Magdeburg
6–1
W
25 Oct
@ SC Freiburg
3–1
W
21 Oct
vs Arsenal
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
1. FC Köln – last 6
LDWDLW
8 Nov
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
1 Nov
@ Union Berlin
1–1
D
27 Oct
vs Union Berlin
5–0
W
24 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
0–0
D
16 Oct
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayern München and 1. FC Köln.
What is the prediction for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
On our numbers Bayern München have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 10% and 1. FC Köln 9%.
How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Our predicted score is Bayern München 3–0 1. FC Köln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln?
Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 20 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
