SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✗50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.33
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 preview and prediction
The match
SV Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Friday 30 October, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde. SV Elversberg are 7th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while FSV Mainz 05 sit 12th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
SV Elversberg's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to SV Darmstadt 98 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FSV Mainz 05's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to VfL Bochum 0–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.8 for SV Elversberg and 2.2 for FSV Mainz 05. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: SV Elversberg 1–2 FSV Mainz 05. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SV Elversberg31%fair 3.24 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.80
FSV Mainz 0550%fair 2.00 · @2.05
4.00Expected goals
1.75SV Elversberg xG
2.25FSV Mainz 05 xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: SV Elversberg 1.8 – 2.2 FSV Mainz 05 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FSV Mainz 05 to win✗
50%
2.00
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
FSV Mainz 05 ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FSV Mainz 05 / FT FSV Mainz 05✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.33
–
Form
SV Elversberg – last 6
LLWLDL
27 Oct
vs SV Darmstadt 98
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ RB Leipzig
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs FC Augsburg
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Union Berlin
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ FC Schalke 04
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05 – last 6
LLWLWW
27 Oct
@ VfL Bochum
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Werder Bremen
2–3
L
17 Oct
@ FC Schalke 04
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
3–4
L
3 Oct
@ Waldhof Mannheim
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
4–3
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05.
What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
On our numbers SV Elversberg have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FSV Mainz 05 50%.
How many goals will there be in SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our predicted score is SV Elversberg 1–2 FSV Mainz 05, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.