SC Freiburg vs Bayern München preview and prediction
The match
Bayern München travel to Europa-Park Stadion in the Bundesliga on Sunday 25 October (17:30 WAT) to face SC Freiburg. SC Freiburg are 3rd with 19 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Bayern München sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
SC Freiburg's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Monaco 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Bayern München's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Arsenal 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.1 for SC Freiburg and 2.9 for Bayern München. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: SC Freiburg 11%, draw 19%, Bayern München 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bayern München to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: SC Freiburg 1–2 Bayern München. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Freiburg11%fair 9.34 · @6.00
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @5.00
Bayern München71%fair 1.42 · @1.36
4.00Expected goals
1.15SC Freiburg xG
2.85Bayern München xG
65%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 1.1 – 2.9 Bayern München expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Bayern München or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München✓
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
SC Freiburg – last 6
LLWWWD
22 Oct
@ Monaco
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Bayer Leverkusen
1–2
L
15 Oct
vs FK Jablonec
3–2
W
11 Oct
vs FC Schalke 04
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs FC Luzern
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bayern München – last 6
DWDDWW
21 Oct
vs Arsenal
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs RB Leipzig
6–1
W
13 Oct
@ Viking
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ FC Augsburg
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Union Berlin
7–0
W
13 Sep
@ SV Elversberg
2–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg and Bayern München.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
Our pick is Bayern München to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bayern München 71%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 1–2 Bayern München, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg vs Bayern München?
SC Freiburg vs Bayern München (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
