Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✗67% · @1.30
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees Borussia Dortmund take on Werder Bremen on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 21 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Werder Bremen sit 6th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Borussia Dortmund's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat VfB Stuttgart 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Werder Bremen's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat FC Augsburg 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Borussia Dortmund arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.0 for Werder Bremen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Borussia Dortmund67%fair 1.50 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @5.00
Werder Bremen16%fair 6.11 · @7.50
3.38Expected goals
2.33Borussia Dortmund xG
1.05Werder Bremen xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 2.3 – 1.0 Werder Bremen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✗
67%
1.50
1.30
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs SC Paderborn 07
3–0
W
8 Sep
vs Villarreal
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ HEBC
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Hamburger SV
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Werder Bremen – last 6
WDWLWL
19 Sep
vs FC Augsburg
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ 1. FC Köln
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs RB Leipzig
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Lüneburger SK Hansa
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Auxerre
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Werder Bremen 16%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Werder Bremen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
